Thursday, 9 February 2017

Helping US Intelligence Analysts using Bayesian networks


Causal Bayesian networks are at the heart of a major new collaborative research project led by Australian University Monash  - funded by the United States' Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA). The objective is to help intelligence analysts assess the value of their information. IARPA was set up following the failure of the US intelligence agencies to properly assess the correct levels of threat posed by Al Qaeda in 2001 and Iraq in 2003.

The chief investigator at Monash, Kevin Korb, said in an interview in the Australian:
"..quantitative rather than qualitative methods were crucial in judging the value of intelligence.... more quantitative approaches could have helped contain the ebola epidemic by making authorities appreciate the scale of the problem months earlier. They could also build a better assessment of the likelihood of events like gunfire between vessels in the South China Sea, a substantial devaluation of the Venezuelan currency or a new presidential aspirant in Egypt."
Norman Fenton and Martin Neil (both of Agena and Queen Mary University of London) will be working on the project along with colleagues such as David Lagnado and Ulrike Hahn at UCL.  AgenaRisk will be used throughout the project as the Bayesian network platform.

Further information:

3 comments:

  1. I love the blog cotent it is very helfull for us. Plant Safety Assessment professional from Australian Risk Services can be of particular assistance at this stage. Being now familiar with your workplace, they can provide details on the best controls and practices for your situation.

    ReplyDelete
  2. BRING BACK THE GOOD TIMES, THINK ABOUT THE HAPPIEST TIME IN YOUR RELATIONSHIP, DR OGUDU CAN MAKE IT HAPPEN AGAIN, YOU DESERVE TO BE HAPPY, TODAY BRING BACK LOST LOVE INSTANTLY USING HIS EFFECTIVE SPELLS

    Are you looking for ultimate spells that works effectively same time on your problems, ranges from Love spells, marriage spells, and carrier related problems, Gay and lesbian extreme love / attraction spells, women of the night Norton accruing powders and oil for extreme ecstasy and protection with in working ordeals. How to get your ex back permanently? Is this what you are asking yourself? Have you been dumped? Can't you just move on? Did he/she chose someone else over you? Your lover shows no interest in you anymore? You might have been asking yourself how to get your ex lover back permanently and you have been looking for unanswered questions about it, Well today is the day for your worries to be eliminated for good. Dr Ogudu have assisted me in getting my ex lover back,Are you going through emotional torture contact him now so he can use his birth gift of casting strong love spells and his super natural magical powers that mean no harm but motivated by peace, wellness and love. The fact that you ask how to get your lover back permanently is the reason why you should no longer face sorrow on your own, and that is because you are in a perfect condition to win over your ex lover and make him or her fall in love with you all over again. It is a great pain to be in love with someone who does not show the same affection back to you as you hope for. However, it is never too late to have all that you wish for and deserve in a lover. Love spells by (DR OGUDU) are pure nature of magic, they are inspired by true mystery of the beauty of the planet earth and they will do well for you as well. CONTACT HIM NOW AND BE HAPPY AGAIN""""


    EMAIL--[OGUDUSPELLTEMPLE@YAHOO.COM]
    WHATSAPP NUMBER +2348106058254
    Website...http://oguduspelltemple.wixsite.com/drogudu

    ReplyDelete
  3. I love the blog cotent it is very helpfull for us. Australian Risk Services can be of particular assistance at this stage. Being now familiar with your workplace, they can provide details on the best controls and practices for your situation. We provide best Plant Safety Assessment in Australia.

    ReplyDelete