Thursday, 9 February 2017

Helping US Intelligence Analysts using Bayesian networks


Causal Bayesian networks are at the heart of a major new collaborative research project led by Australian University Monash  - funded by the United States' Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA). The objective is to help intelligence analysts assess the value of their information. IARPA was set up following the failure of the US intelligence agencies to properly assess the correct levels of threat posed by Al Qaeda in 2001 and Iraq in 2003.

The chief investigator at Monash, Kevin Korb, said in an interview in the Australian:
"..quantitative rather than qualitative methods were crucial in judging the value of intelligence.... more quantitative approaches could have helped contain the ebola epidemic by making authorities appreciate the scale of the problem months earlier. They could also build a better assessment of the likelihood of events like gunfire between vessels in the South China Sea, a substantial devaluation of the Venezuelan currency or a new presidential aspirant in Egypt."
Norman Fenton and Martin Neil (both of Agena and Queen Mary University of London) will be working on the project along with colleagues such as David Lagnado and Ulrike Hahn at UCL.  AgenaRisk will be used throughout the project as the Bayesian network platform.

Further information:

17 comments:

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      GET YOUR EX LOVER BACK WITH THE HELP OF A POWERFUL SPELL CASTER CALLED (DR. BEN) email him on benherbaltemple@gmail.com

      What a miracle to have my ex back,my name is Cherry Lugard
      and i need to share this great testimony... I just want to say thanks(DR. BEN) for taking time to help me cast the spell that brings back my ex lover {now my husband},who suddenly lost interest in me after six month of engagement,but today we are married and we are more happier than never before, I am really short of words and joyful, and i don't know how much to convey my appreciation to you doctor BEN you are a God sent to restore broken relationship.he deeply enjoy helping people achieve their desires, find true love,getting their ex lovers back,stop abusive relationships,find success,attract happiness,find soul mates and more,contact him today. and let him show you the wonders and amazement of his Love Spell System. He deliver results at his best in real spell casting, email him for help on benherbaltemple@gmail.com Via website: http://benherbaltemple.webs.com/ you can also call him on +1(310)-220-0075.

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    GET YOUR EX LOVER BACK WITH THE HELP OF A POWERFUL SPELL CASTER CALLED (DR. BEN) email him on benherbaltemple@gmail.com

    What a miracle to have my ex back,my name is Cherry Lugard
    and i need to share this great testimony... I just want to say thanks(DR. BEN) for taking time to help me cast the spell that brings back my ex lover {now my husband},who suddenly lost interest in me after six month of engagement,but today we are married and we are more happier than never before, I am really short of words and joyful, and i don't know how much to convey my appreciation to you doctor BEN you are a God sent to restore broken relationship.he deeply enjoy helping people achieve their desires, find true love,getting their ex lovers back,stop abusive relationships,find success,attract happiness,find soul mates and more,contact him today. and let him show you the wonders and amazement of his Love Spell System. He deliver results at his best in real spell casting, email him for help on benherbaltemple@gmail.com Via website: http://benherbaltemple.webs.com/ you can also call him on +1(310)-220-0075.

    ReplyDelete
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    My name is Amy Jane. Out of respect for you and your spells I must make this testimony known to all. I've been to other spell casters without seeing any progress, just wished I came to you earlier,i got the best from you. My Ex husband was gone for a year and I went everywhere and other spell casters for help but no good result until my friend introduce me to Dr.Jakiki he told me to just do everything he ask and all will be fine,which i did and after the amazing Spell was done, I finally got a call from my husband and behold in the next 30 minutes my husband was at my door begging for forgiveness and now my husband is back with full of love. It was like a miracle! He suddenly came back with flowers saying that i should for give him,i was truly flabbergasted and shocked when my husband kneel down begging for forgiveness and for me to accept him, i'm really short of words and joyful,you are a God sent to me and my family and now i am a joyful woman once again. Thank you so much Dr. Jakiki To everyone who is looking for a real spell caster you can contact Dr. Jakiki through the details below:

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    Website: http://spellcasthome.webs.com/

    ReplyDelete
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    My name is Amy Jane. Out of respect for you and your spells I must make this testimony known to all. I've been to other spell casters without seeing any progress, just wished I came to you earlier,i got the best from you. My Ex husband was gone for a year and I went everywhere and other spell casters for help but no good result until my friend introduce me to Dr.Jakiki he told me to just do everything he ask and all will be fine,which i did and after the amazing Spell was done, I finally got a call from my husband and behold in the next 30 minutes my husband was at my door begging for forgiveness and now my husband is back with full of love. It was like a miracle! He suddenly came back with flowers saying that i should for give him,i was truly flabbergasted and shocked when my husband kneel down begging for forgiveness and for me to accept him, i'm really short of words and joyful,you are a God sent to me and my family and now i am a joyful woman once again. Thank you so much Dr. Jakiki To everyone who is looking for a real spell caster you can contact Dr. Jakiki through the details below:

    Email: Spellcasthome@gmail.com
    Call or text him: +1 (402) 892-2486
    Website: http://spellcasthome.webs.com/

    ReplyDelete
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